Market Wrap: Bitcoin Rangebound as XRP Plummets After SEC Lawsuit

Dec 23, 2020 at 9:29 p.m. UTC

BTCUSD four-hour price action

Market Wrap: Bitcoin Rangebound as XRP Plummets After SEC Lawsuit

Bitcoin’s price continues to trade below $24,000 as legal action against Ripple Labs rattled the XRP market. Bitcoin is the only asset in the CoinDesk20 with a positive 24-hour return as of 4 p.m. ET.

Bitcoin (BTC) trading around $23,500 as of 21:00 UTC (4 p.m. ET) gaining less than 1% over the previous 24 hours.
Bitcoin’s 24-hour range: $22,822.26 to $24,086.95.
XRP’s sell-off continues with the token’s price dropping another 40% to $0.27 Wednesday.

The price of bitcoin has been bouncing between $22,000 and $24,000 since Friday.

Despite its monster rally through the fourth quarter of 2020, bitcoin’s volatility has stayed low. There was a slight increase in December as bitcoin continued setting new record highs, but 180-day volatility has been sitting at its lowest levels since February 2017, per data from Coin Metrics.

Where the price heads next is anyone’s guess. But on Twitter, Ki Young Ju, CEO of cryptocurrency data provider CryptoQuant, shared his bullishness, saying, “BTC will break $25,000 without retesting $21,000.”

Part of the reason for Ju’s prediction are the large outflows from Coinbase, which could be viewed as transfers to Coinbase cold storage following new over-the-counter deals for institutional clients.

Bitcoin price and BTC Coinbase outflows annotated by Ki Young Ju

Sharing Ju’s market outlook, Zoran Scekic, managing partner at cryptocurrency trading firm Zorax Capital, also took to Twitter, calling bitcoin’s market conditions a “consolidation or up” trend. Regardless of what it’s called, bitcoin’s current trend has resulted in over 200% year-to-date returns, with a roughly 20% gain so far in December.

Along the way, bitcoin’s correlation to traditional markets has continued to weaken, per data from Coin Metrics, with the 90-day correlation between bitcoin and the S&P 500 stock index at its lowest level since just before the market crash in March 2020.

Ripple

Following news of the SEC lawsuit against Ripple, XRP investors are facing a very un-merry Christmas weekend. The fifth-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization crashed more than 40% Wednesday as of 21:00 UTC (4 p.m. ET), trading hands around $0.27.

Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse warned Monday the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) planned to file a lawsuit, per prior CoinDesk reporting. Sure enough, on Tuesday afternoon the SEC filed a suit that claimed Ripple Labs violated federal securities laws in selling the XRP cryptocurrency to retail consumers.

Some organizations are taking a wait-and-see approach to this news, such as Ripple partner MoneyGram, which said it has yet to see any “negative impact” on its business arrangements with Ripple following the SEC lawsuit.

But some investors aren’t being as patient. Cryptocurrency money manager Bitwise liquidated its XRP, worth $9.3 million, following news of the SEC’s lawsuit. “The Fund liquidated its position and reinvested the proceeds in other portfolio assets,” Bitwise wrote to clients.

Other markets

Digital assets on the CoinDesk 20 are down Wednesday. Bitcoin is the index’s only asset with a positive 24-hour return as of 21:00 UTC (4:00 p.m. ET), reporting a gain of 0.4%.

Notable losers:

xrp (XRP), down 40%
stellar (XLM), down 16%
omg network (omg), down 13%

Equities:

Asia’s Nikkei 225 is in the green, up 0.33%.
The FTSE 100 in Europe is up 0.7% from its Wednesday open.
The S&P 500 in the United States closed flat, with a modest 0.2% gain Wednesday after giving back some of its gains from early afternoon trading hours.

Commodities: